The highlight of the Big 12 schedule this weekend is a first-place battle between No. 17 Iowa State (3-1, 3-0) and No. 6 Oklahoma State (3-0, 2-0). Neither team played last week as ISU had a scheduled off week, and OSU’s game at Baylor was postponed due to a COVID-19 outbreak for the Bears.
This game kicks off Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET at T. Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Okla., and will be televised on FOX.
Oklahoma State won last year’s game in Iowa 34-27, and it has taken seven of the last eight meetings. Iowa State won its most recent trip to Stillwater with a 48-42 win in 2018, its first road win in the series since 2000. Overall, Oklahoma State leads the series 32-19-3.
In betting with us this season at A1PPH.com, the Cyclones are 2-2 ATS, and the over is 2-2 in their four games. Iowa State’s offense ranks 33rd in the country in total yards (414.8 yards per game), 40th in passing (235 yards per game), 32nd in rushing (179.8 yards per game) and 44th in scoring (29.8 points per game).
The defense is 27th in total yards (367 yards per game), 13th against the run (100.8 yards per game) and 34th in scoring defense (27.5 points per game).
Iowa State has scored at least 31 points in its three wins against TCU, Oklahoma and Texas Tech. The Cyclones were held to 14 in an opening-week loss to Louisiana and had a bye week last Saturday.
Quarterback Brock Purdy has completed 62% of his passes this season for 912 yards with four touchdowns and one interception. He has also run for a score and added 81 yards on 24 carries.
Last year against OSU, he was picked off three times and held to one rushing yard as the No. 23 Cyclones were upset at home.
Running back Breece Hall leads the Cyclones with 531 yards on 93 carries (5.7 yards per carry) while scoring eight times. Running back Kene Nwangwu has 107 yards on 15 carries to go with two touchdowns. Last year against the Cowboys, Hall scored twice and ran for 76 yards on 18 carries.
In the passing game, wide receiver Xavier Hutchinson has 20 catches for 229 yards. Tight end Charlie Kolar has 12 catches for 134 yards, and tight end Chase Allen has nine catches for 126 yards. Four different receivers have touchdown catches, and nobody has more than one.
In betting with us this season at A1PPH.com, the Cowboys are 2-1 ATS, and the under is 2-1 in their three games. Mike Gundy’s defense ranks second in the nation in scoring defense (9.0 points per game), seventh in yards allowed (274.7 yards per game) and 10th against the run (93.7 yards per game). The offense ranks 16th in rushing (212.3 yards per game), 39th in total yards (404 yards per game) and 42nd in scoring (30 points per game).
The Cowboys are on their third quarterback this season due to injuries. Freshman Shane Illingworth has completed 73% of his passes for 478 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. He took over with OSU down to Tulsa in the season opener and engineered a comeback.
Running back Chuba Hubbard has 339 yards and four touchdowns on 69 carries this season, while L.D. Brown has 201 yards and a touchdown on 28 carries. Running back Dezmon Jackson is also over 100 yards on 13 carries. Hubbard gashed Iowa State last year for 116 yards and a touchdown on 22 carries.
On the perimeter, wide receiver Tylan Wallace is the only receiver over 100 yards, recording 320 yards on 19 catches. He also has two touchdowns this year, while wide receiver Braydon Johnson has the other one. Wallace scored against Iowa State last year while catching eight balls for 131 yards.
Head to our favorite pay per head bookie site at A1PPH.com, where Oklahoma State is favored by 3.5 points at home. The total is 54 points, and Iowa State is +170 on the moneyline to pull a road upset.
The winner of this game takes the inside track to a Big 12 title, with only Kansas State also unbeaten. That goes double if ISU pulls the upset as it has already beaten Oklahoma.
Both teams had a week off, and the strength of OSU’s offense (running) is the strength of ISU’s defense. Look for a low-scoring affair.
Free Bet: Under 54 points (-110)